Can Haley Beat Trump in New Hampshire?

Hey guys — guess what? All of a sudden, the GOP primary contest is beginning to get interesting because Trump’s tidal wave of support in New Hampshire is beginning to crash down. For the first time since mid-April, when the first polls reported by RCP had Trump with a lead of less than 20 points over DeSantis and the rest of the field, he’s down to slightly less than 14 points against Haley, 43% to 29.3%.

Trump hasn’t been at 43% since August, with a high point of 47.6% reached on November 13, a date at which Haley was at 15.5%. Her poll numbers have doubled since that date and now she’s not just surging by taking votes away from the collapse of the DeSantis campaign, but she’s beginning to pull support directly away from Trump as well.

Where Haley’s support is not quite as strong as the numbers alone seem to suggest, unfortunately, is a breakdown of the ages of her supporters versus the ages of the poll respondents who still support Trump. The latest poll came out today from CNN, and for the first time, a poll has Haley as he top pick by more than 30%.

But if you go into the details of the poll itself, you find that Haley’s greatest strength is among young voters between 18 to 34, while Trump is still stronger in all the other age groups. Except of the four age groups who comprise the entire respondent pool, it’s the youngest…