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Drip, Drip, Drip: The Trump Fade.
Yesterday in my column I said I would take the short odds that if Trump didn’t show up at the Wednesday night debate, that his poll numbers would begin to drop under 50%.
Guess what? I don’t have to wait until Wednesday because last week a New Hampshire poll had Trump at 49%, which is 9 points lower than this same pollster (Emerson College) reported for Trump back in March.
Trump still has a humongous lead over the rest of the GOP field in New Hampshire, particularly because DeSantis really seems to be sliding down the tubes. But even though Trump has a 40-point lead over the closest challenger, Chris Christie with 9 points, the really significant takeaway from this survey is that for the first time, more than half the potential GOP voters in New Hampshire don’t want Trump.
That doesn’t mean they won’t vote for Trump if he gets through the primaries and ends up on the 2024 ballot running again against Joe. But the problem that he and any other GOP Presidential candidate has is that you can’t win a national election running as the GOP candidate if you only pick up GOP votes.
Right now, registered Democrats number 48.3 million, registered Republicans number 37 million. Another 42 million are registered for some other party or are registered to vote without defining themselves party-wise. There are also 18…