Should We Worry About the Polls?

Here we go again. Another comment by a political junkie (that’s me) aimed particularly at the Democrat(ic) political junkies who not only read my comments but get all excited the way I get excited when we can think about what we learn from political polls.

And the poll which caught my eye yesterday was a story in The Failing New York Times by Nate Cohn, one of the paper’s resident experts, who has put together data from the crucial swing states which determine who wins the general election every four years, and he finds that the narrow edge that Trump had in the states which won him the big prize in 2016 seems to have disappeared.

I have seen this argument made by other pundits in other media outlets, but what is new in Cohn’s piece is the finding that the GOP seems to be doing better in states which no matter how well they do, will not change the end results.

Specifically, there does seem to be not a wave but at least a new ripple for the GOP amongst minority voters (read: Latins) in blue states like California and New York, but this slight shift, even if it becomes somewhat more noticeable, won’t change the overall outcome because these states will always vote blue.

On the other hand, the GOP seems to be losing some of its advantage in among white voters in critical swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and…