Will Women Elect One of Their Own?

As much as I don’t particularly believe that we get a truly accurate view of how the election will turn out from all those polls, a new poll in Iowa has given me pause for thought.

The poll, run by a Des Moines newspaper, gives Trump a 4-point lead, 47 to 43, which is a significant change from the same polling operation in June which gave Trump a 50–32 lead over Joe.

Now if Trump can’t keep himself way in front in a state like Iowa, he can’t keep himself ahead of Kamala in any state.

And even though Trump is still slightly ahead in the Buckeye State, the poll’s result by gender has nothing but good news for Kamala and nothing but bad news for Trump because although Trump was the male choice by 59 t0 32 percent, Kamala had the female vote by 53 to 36 percent.

And this gap in gender preference needs to be seen within a national context because over the last 60 years, every successive Presidential election has been attracting more women than men to the polls.

In 1964, the turnout rate for male voters was 70%, for females it was 67%. By 1980 the overall turnout rate had slipped to just under 70%, and the turnout rate by gender was exactly the same.

In every election since that date, more women have voted than men, with the gender gap in 2020 favoring females…